Sunday, February 10, 2008

Obama has the big Mo


It's all about momentum, and it looks once again as if 46-year Barack Obama has it.

He scored a series of stunning victories last night over his only rival for the Democratic nomination for President, that Hillary Clinton.

The most significant prize was Washington state, which sends 97 delegates of various sorts to the nomination convention later this year.

Obama not only won that state by a wide margin, as much as two to one, but also took Nebraska, the delegate-rich state of Louisiana and the votes of Democrats in the US colony on the Virgin Islands.

The Clinton campaign are confident they will win today's Maine primary, which is nice for them.

They of all people should know about momentum - after all, in 1992 it propelled Bill into the Oval Office.


The most heatening aspect of the Obama win in Washington is the excitement the candidate generates, especially among groups disenchanted with politics, such as young people.


As he continues to hoover up votes and delegates, the Clinton campaign must be worried.

They have nothing with which to capture the public imagination, beyond sensible trouser suits and the dubious promise of Bill Clinton back in the White House.


To give you just one example of the Obama's appeal, yesterday he addressed a rally of 20,000 supporters in Seattle.

The doors opened at 6am and had to close at 11am and thousands were turned away, all eager to see live the man who has inspired them so much.

The general impression from the caucuses up and down the state is of twice as many people as expected turning up, and all of them supporting Obama's candidacy.


It is called momentum, and Obama has it. Clinton supporters point to the upcoming contests. The so-called Beltway Primary on Tuesday, when DC, Virginia and Maryland choose.


Then Wisconsin the week after that - by that stage, hopefully, the Barack bandwagon will be a juggernaut.


March 4th is the day to watch. Texas and Ohio, both heavily populated and therefore delegate rich, will choose their Democratic candidate.

If Barack Obama can continue to ride the wave of popularity, he can clinch the nomination from under Senator Clinton's nose.

With Mitt Romney out of the race and Mike Huckabee looking increasingly likely to be pitching to do the Lord's work from the Vice President's office, John McCain is almost certain to be the Republican candidate.

A 71-year old WASP, a Washington veteran, a man of intergrity certainly, but will Americans really pick him over the hope of Obama or even the sensibly-dressed female candidate?

It seems that history will be made in 2008, and it will be the Democrats who make it.