Sunday, July 02, 2006

The beginning of the end of the United Kingdom

Maybe it was the blow of England losing out to Portugal yesterday. This morning it was reported that David "Dave" Cameron is minded to make changes to parliament that would exclude MPs from Scottish seats voting on exclusively English matters.
This is the not first time a mainstream party has expressed a desire to rebalance power since Scottish devolution. It was a Tory manifesto commitment in the 2005 election. This time round though, people are starting to take notice.
Tories have been telling politicsjunkie for some time that they are unhappy about the present arrangement.
Much was made about Blair's reliance on Tory votes to get his education bill. Much less was said about the votes of the 59 Labour MPs from Scotland which were also vital.
Education in Scotland, along with the NHS, police and criminal justice are matters for the Edinburgh parliament. Scottish MPs were being asked to vote on legislation that would never affect their constituents.
The government have consistently refused to answer the West Lothian question, claiming there is no anomaly and that as Westminster remains sovereign it technically controls what can and cannot be decided at Holyrood.
At the same time, Labour also backed a series of regional assemblies for England - there is clearly a democacy defecit if there are assemblies in Wales, Northern Ireland and Scotland but none for England.
Cameron is on to a serious vote-winner here. More and more English people are starting to ask why our government is full of Scots.
Is Westminster the English parliament or a federal parliament? If its role is federal then we need a new English assembly.
But the people do not want them - they voted against them consistently in referendums - and by a large margin.
The Tory solution is to restrict the voting rights of Scottish MPs.
Guess how many Tory MPs there are with Scottish seats? I will give you a clue - it is less than two. It can only help the Tories if they can argue that 59 MPs should not be voting on English affairs. Even with a hung parliament, the Tories can effectively rule England.
Faced with a Scottish Labour leader, the Tories can make great play of Brown not being English, not even representing an English seat, but wanting to rule England. All the big decisions about England are made at Westminster.
The Labour party have ignored this imbalance of power for too long - now it looks set to blow up in their face.
politicsjunkie has long been of the opinion that Gordon Brown will lose the next election. With the Tories now making noise - and making sense - the opinion polls are starting to reflect that lack of public interest in a Brown premiership.